CommodityClassMargin21.java

  1. package org.drip.sample.simmct;

  2. import java.util.HashMap;
  3. import java.util.Map;

  4. import org.drip.analytics.support.CaseInsensitiveHashMap;
  5. import org.drip.numerical.common.FormatUtil;
  6. import org.drip.service.env.EnvManager;
  7. import org.drip.simm.foundation.MarginEstimationSettings;
  8. import org.drip.simm.margin.RiskClassAggregate;
  9. import org.drip.simm.margin.RiskMeasureAggregate;
  10. import org.drip.simm.parameters.RiskClassSensitivitySettings;
  11. import org.drip.simm.product.BucketSensitivity;
  12. import org.drip.simm.product.RiskClassSensitivity;
  13. import org.drip.simm.product.RiskMeasureSensitivity;

  14. /*
  15.  * -*- mode: java; tab-width: 4; indent-tabs-mode: nil; c-basic-offset: 4 -*-
  16.  */

  17. /*!
  18.  * Copyright (C) 2018 Lakshmi Krishnamurthy
  19.  *
  20.  *  This file is part of DRIP, a free-software/open-source library for buy/side financial/trading model
  21.  *      libraries targeting analysts and developers
  22.  *      https://lakshmidrip.github.io/DRIP/
  23.  *  
  24.  *  DRIP is composed of four main libraries:
  25.  *  
  26.  *  - DRIP Fixed Income - https://lakshmidrip.github.io/DRIP-Fixed-Income/
  27.  *  - DRIP Asset Allocation - https://lakshmidrip.github.io/DRIP-Asset-Allocation/
  28.  *  - DRIP Numerical Optimizer - https://lakshmidrip.github.io/DRIP-Numerical-Optimizer/
  29.  *  - DRIP Statistical Learning - https://lakshmidrip.github.io/DRIP-Statistical-Learning/
  30.  *
  31.  *  - DRIP Fixed Income: Library for Instrument/Trading Conventions, Treasury Futures/Options,
  32.  *      Funding/Forward/Overnight Curves, Multi-Curve Construction/Valuation, Collateral Valuation and XVA
  33.  *      Metric Generation, Calibration and Hedge Attributions, Statistical Curve Construction, Bond RV
  34.  *      Metrics, Stochastic Evolution and Option Pricing, Interest Rate Dynamics and Option Pricing, LMM
  35.  *      Extensions/Calibrations/Greeks, Algorithmic Differentiation, and Asset Backed Models and Analytics.
  36.  *
  37.  *  - DRIP Asset Allocation: Library for model libraries for MPT framework, Black Litterman Strategy
  38.  *      Incorporator, Holdings Constraint, and Transaction Costs.
  39.  *
  40.  *  - DRIP Numerical Optimizer: Library for Numerical Optimization and Spline Functionality.
  41.  *
  42.  *  - DRIP Statistical Learning: Library for Statistical Evaluation and Machine Learning.
  43.  *
  44.  *  Licensed under the Apache License, Version 2.0 (the "License");
  45.  *      you may not use this file except in compliance with the License.
  46.  *  
  47.  *  You may obtain a copy of the License at
  48.  *      http://www.apache.org/licenses/LICENSE-2.0
  49.  *  
  50.  *  Unless required by applicable law or agreed to in writing, software
  51.  *      distributed under the License is distributed on an "AS IS" BASIS,
  52.  *      WITHOUT WARRANTIES OR CONDITIONS OF ANY KIND, either express or implied.
  53.  *  
  54.  *  See the License for the specific language governing permissions and
  55.  *      limitations under the License.
  56.  */

  57. /**
  58.  * CommodityClassMargin21 illustrates the Computation of the ISDA 2.1 Aggregate Margin for across a Group of
  59.  *  Commodity Bucket Exposure Sensitivities. The References are:
  60.  *  
  61.  *  - Andersen, L. B. G., M. Pykhtin, and A. Sokol (2017): Credit Exposure in the Presence of Initial Margin,
  62.  *      https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2806156, eSSRN.
  63.  *  
  64.  *  - Albanese, C., S. Caenazzo, and O. Frankel (2017): Regression Sensitivities for Initial Margin
  65.  *      Calculations, https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2763488, eSSRN.
  66.  *  
  67.  *  - Anfuso, F., D. Aziz, P. Giltinan, and K. Loukopoulus (2017): A Sound Modeling and Back-testing
  68.  *      Framework for Forecasting Initial Margin Requirements,
  69.  *      https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2716279, eSSRN.
  70.  *  
  71.  *  - Caspers, P., P. Giltinan, R. Lichters, and N. Nowaczyk (2017): Forecasting Initial Margin Requirements
  72.  *      - A Model Evaluation https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2911167, eSSRN.
  73.  *  
  74.  *  - International Swaps and Derivatives Association (2017): SIMM v2.0 Methodology,
  75.  *      https://www.isda.org/a/oFiDE/isda-simm-v2.pdf.
  76.  *
  77.  * @author Lakshmi Krishnamurthy
  78.  */

  79. public class CommodityClassMargin21
  80. {

  81.     private static final void AddBucketRiskFactorSensitivity (
  82.         final Map<String, Map<String, Double>> bucketRiskFactorSensitivityMap,
  83.         final int bucketIndex,
  84.         final double notional,
  85.         final String commodity)
  86.     {
  87.         Map<String, Double> riskFactorSensitivityMap = new CaseInsensitiveHashMap<Double>();

  88.         riskFactorSensitivityMap.put (
  89.             commodity,
  90.             notional * (Math.random() - 0.5)
  91.         );

  92.         bucketRiskFactorSensitivityMap.put (
  93.             "" + bucketIndex,
  94.             riskFactorSensitivityMap
  95.         );
  96.     }

  97.     private static final Map<String, Map<String, Double>> BucketRiskFactorSensitivityMap (
  98.         final double notional)
  99.         throws Exception
  100.     {
  101.         Map<String, Map<String, Double>> bucketRiskFactorSensitivityMap =
  102.             new HashMap<String, Map<String, Double>>();

  103.         AddBucketRiskFactorSensitivity (
  104.             bucketRiskFactorSensitivityMap,
  105.             1,
  106.             notional,
  107.             "COAL                          "
  108.         );

  109.         AddBucketRiskFactorSensitivity (
  110.             bucketRiskFactorSensitivityMap,
  111.             2,
  112.             notional,
  113.             "CRUDE                         "
  114.         );

  115.         AddBucketRiskFactorSensitivity (
  116.             bucketRiskFactorSensitivityMap,
  117.             3,
  118.             notional,
  119.             "LIGHT ENDS                    "
  120.         );

  121.         AddBucketRiskFactorSensitivity (
  122.             bucketRiskFactorSensitivityMap,
  123.             4,
  124.             notional,
  125.             "MIDDLE DISTILLATES            "
  126.         );

  127.         AddBucketRiskFactorSensitivity (
  128.             bucketRiskFactorSensitivityMap,
  129.             5,
  130.             notional,
  131.             "HEAVY DISTILLATES             "
  132.         );

  133.         AddBucketRiskFactorSensitivity (
  134.             bucketRiskFactorSensitivityMap,
  135.             6,
  136.             notional,
  137.             "NORTH AMERICAN NATURAL GAS    "
  138.         );

  139.         AddBucketRiskFactorSensitivity (
  140.             bucketRiskFactorSensitivityMap,
  141.             7,
  142.             notional,
  143.             "EUROPEAN NATURAL GAS          "
  144.         );

  145.         AddBucketRiskFactorSensitivity (
  146.             bucketRiskFactorSensitivityMap,
  147.             8,
  148.             notional,
  149.             "NORTH AMERICAN POWER          "
  150.         );

  151.         AddBucketRiskFactorSensitivity (
  152.             bucketRiskFactorSensitivityMap,
  153.             9,
  154.             notional,
  155.             "EUROPEAN POWER                "
  156.         );

  157.         AddBucketRiskFactorSensitivity (
  158.             bucketRiskFactorSensitivityMap,
  159.             10,
  160.             notional,
  161.             "FREIGHT                       "
  162.         );

  163.         AddBucketRiskFactorSensitivity (
  164.             bucketRiskFactorSensitivityMap,
  165.             11,
  166.             notional,
  167.             "BASE METALS                   "
  168.         );

  169.         AddBucketRiskFactorSensitivity (
  170.             bucketRiskFactorSensitivityMap,
  171.             12,
  172.             notional,
  173.             "PRECIOUS METALS               "
  174.         );

  175.         AddBucketRiskFactorSensitivity (
  176.             bucketRiskFactorSensitivityMap,
  177.             13,
  178.             notional,
  179.             "GRAINS                        "
  180.         );

  181.         AddBucketRiskFactorSensitivity (
  182.             bucketRiskFactorSensitivityMap,
  183.             14,
  184.             notional,
  185.             "SOFTS                         "
  186.         );

  187.         AddBucketRiskFactorSensitivity (
  188.             bucketRiskFactorSensitivityMap,
  189.             15,
  190.             notional,
  191.             "LIVESTOCK                     "
  192.         );

  193.         AddBucketRiskFactorSensitivity (
  194.             bucketRiskFactorSensitivityMap,
  195.             16,
  196.             notional,
  197.             "OTHER                         "
  198.         );

  199.         AddBucketRiskFactorSensitivity (
  200.             bucketRiskFactorSensitivityMap,
  201.             17,
  202.             notional,
  203.             "INDEXES                       "
  204.         );

  205.         return bucketRiskFactorSensitivityMap;
  206.     }

  207.     public static final void main (
  208.         final String[] inputArray)
  209.         throws Exception
  210.     {
  211.         EnvManager.InitEnv ("");

  212.         double notional = 100.;
  213.         int vegaDurationDays = 365;

  214.         MarginEstimationSettings marginEstimationSettings = MarginEstimationSettings.CornishFischer
  215.             (MarginEstimationSettings.POSITION_PRINCIPAL_COMPONENT_COVARIANCE_ESTIMATOR_ISDA);

  216.         RiskClassSensitivitySettings riskClassSensitivitySettings = RiskClassSensitivitySettings.ISDA_CT_21
  217.             (vegaDurationDays);

  218.         Map<String, Map<String, Double>> bucketDeltaMap = BucketRiskFactorSensitivityMap (notional);

  219.         Map<String, BucketSensitivity> bucketDeltaSensitivityMap = new HashMap<String, BucketSensitivity>();

  220.         for (Map.Entry<String, Map<String, Double>> bucketDeltaMapEntry : bucketDeltaMap.entrySet())
  221.         {
  222.             BucketSensitivity bucketDeltaSensitivity = new BucketSensitivity
  223.                 (bucketDeltaMapEntry.getValue());

  224.             bucketDeltaSensitivityMap.put (
  225.                 bucketDeltaMapEntry.getKey(),
  226.                 bucketDeltaSensitivity
  227.             );
  228.         }

  229.         Map<String, Map<String, Double>> bucketVegaMap = BucketRiskFactorSensitivityMap (notional);

  230.         Map<String, BucketSensitivity> bucketVegaSensitivityMap = new HashMap<String, BucketSensitivity>();

  231.         for (Map.Entry<String, Map<String, Double>> bucketVegaMapEntry : bucketVegaMap.entrySet())
  232.         {
  233.             BucketSensitivity bucketVegaSensitivity = new BucketSensitivity (bucketVegaMapEntry.getValue());

  234.             bucketVegaSensitivityMap.put (
  235.                 bucketVegaMapEntry.getKey(),
  236.                 bucketVegaSensitivity
  237.             );
  238.         }

  239.         RiskClassAggregate riskClassAggregate = new RiskClassSensitivity (
  240.             new RiskMeasureSensitivity (bucketDeltaSensitivityMap),
  241.             new RiskMeasureSensitivity (bucketVegaSensitivityMap),
  242.             new RiskMeasureSensitivity (bucketVegaSensitivityMap)
  243.         ).aggregate (
  244.             riskClassSensitivitySettings,
  245.             marginEstimationSettings
  246.         );

  247.         RiskMeasureAggregate deltaRiskMeasureAggregate = riskClassAggregate.deltaMargin();

  248.         RiskMeasureAggregate vegaRiskMeasureAggregate = riskClassAggregate.vegaMargin();

  249.         RiskMeasureAggregate curvatureRiskMeasureAggregate = riskClassAggregate.curvatureMargin();

  250.         System.out.println ("\t|-----------------------------------------------------||");

  251.         System.out.println ("\t|               SBA BASED DELTA MARGIN                ||");

  252.         System.out.println ("\t|-----------------------------------------------------||");

  253.         System.out.println ("\t|                                                     ||");

  254.         System.out.println ("\t|    L -> R:                                          ||");

  255.         System.out.println ("\t|                                                     ||");

  256.         System.out.println ("\t|            - Core Delta SBA Margin                  ||");

  257.         System.out.println ("\t|            - Residual Delta SBA Margin              ||");

  258.         System.out.println ("\t|            - SBA Delta Margin                       ||");

  259.         System.out.println ("\t|-----------------------------------------------------||");

  260.         System.out.println ("\t| DELTA MARGIN COMPONENTS => " +
  261.             FormatUtil.FormatDouble (Math.sqrt (deltaRiskMeasureAggregate.coreSBAVariance()), 5, 0, 1.) +
  262.                 " | " +
  263.             FormatUtil.FormatDouble (Math.sqrt (deltaRiskMeasureAggregate.residualSBAVariance()), 5, 0, 1.) +
  264.                 " | " +
  265.             FormatUtil.FormatDouble (deltaRiskMeasureAggregate.sba(), 5, 0, 1.) + " ||"
  266.         );

  267.         System.out.println ("\t|-----------------------------------------------------||");

  268.         System.out.println ("\t|-----------------------------------------------------||");

  269.         System.out.println ("\t|               SBA BASED VEGA MARGIN                 ||");

  270.         System.out.println ("\t|-----------------------------------------------------||");

  271.         System.out.println ("\t|                                                     ||");

  272.         System.out.println ("\t|    L -> R:                                          ||");

  273.         System.out.println ("\t|                                                     ||");

  274.         System.out.println ("\t|            - Core Vega SBA Margin                   ||");

  275.         System.out.println ("\t|            - Residual Vega SBA Margin               ||");

  276.         System.out.println ("\t|            - SBA Vega Margin                        ||");

  277.         System.out.println ("\t|-----------------------------------------------------||");

  278.         System.out.println ("\t| VEGA MARGIN COMPONENTS  => " +
  279.             FormatUtil.FormatDouble (Math.sqrt (vegaRiskMeasureAggregate.coreSBAVariance()), 5, 0, 1.) +
  280.                 " | " +
  281.             FormatUtil.FormatDouble (Math.sqrt (vegaRiskMeasureAggregate.residualSBAVariance()), 5, 0, 1.) +
  282.                 " | " +
  283.             FormatUtil.FormatDouble (vegaRiskMeasureAggregate.sba(), 5, 0, 1.) + " ||"
  284.         );

  285.         System.out.println ("\t|-----------------------------------------------------||");

  286.         System.out.println ("\t|---------------------------------------------------------||");

  287.         System.out.println ("\t|                 SBA BASED CURVATURE MARGIN              ||");

  288.         System.out.println ("\t|---------------------------------------------------------||");

  289.         System.out.println ("\t|                                                         ||");

  290.         System.out.println ("\t|    L -> R:                                              ||");

  291.         System.out.println ("\t|                                                         ||");

  292.         System.out.println ("\t|            - Core Curvature SBA Margin                  ||");

  293.         System.out.println ("\t|            - Residual Curvature SBA Margin              ||");

  294.         System.out.println ("\t|            - SBA Curvature Margin                       ||");

  295.         System.out.println ("\t|---------------------------------------------------------||");

  296.         System.out.println ("\t| CURVATURE MARGIN COMPONENTS => " +
  297.             FormatUtil.FormatDouble (Math.sqrt (curvatureRiskMeasureAggregate.coreSBAVariance()), 5, 0, 1.) +
  298.                 " | " +
  299.             FormatUtil.FormatDouble (Math.sqrt (curvatureRiskMeasureAggregate.residualSBAVariance()), 5, 0, 1.) +
  300.                 " | " +
  301.             FormatUtil.FormatDouble (curvatureRiskMeasureAggregate.sba(), 5, 0, 1.) + " ||"
  302.         );

  303.         System.out.println ("\t|---------------------------------------------------------||");

  304.         System.out.println();

  305.         System.out.println ("\t|------------------------||");

  306.         System.out.println (
  307.             "\t| TOTAL MARGIN => " +
  308.             FormatUtil.FormatDouble (riskClassAggregate.margin(), 5, 0, 1.) + " ||");

  309.         System.out.println ("\t|------------------------||");

  310.         System.out.println();

  311.         EnvManager.TerminateEnv();
  312.     }
  313. }