CommodityVegaMargin21.java

  1. package org.drip.sample.simmct;

  2. import java.util.HashMap;
  3. import java.util.Map;

  4. import org.drip.analytics.support.CaseInsensitiveHashMap;
  5. import org.drip.numerical.common.FormatUtil;
  6. import org.drip.service.env.EnvManager;
  7. import org.drip.simm.foundation.MarginEstimationSettings;
  8. import org.drip.simm.margin.BucketAggregate;
  9. import org.drip.simm.margin.RiskMeasureAggregate;
  10. import org.drip.simm.parameters.RiskMeasureSensitivitySettings;
  11. import org.drip.simm.product.BucketSensitivity;
  12. import org.drip.simm.product.RiskMeasureSensitivity;

  13. /*
  14.  * -*- mode: java; tab-width: 4; indent-tabs-mode: nil; c-basic-offset: 4 -*-
  15.  */

  16. /*!
  17.  * Copyright (C) 2018 Lakshmi Krishnamurthy
  18.  *
  19.  *  This file is part of DRIP, a free-software/open-source library for buy/side financial/trading model
  20.  *      libraries targeting analysts and developers
  21.  *      https://lakshmidrip.github.io/DRIP/
  22.  *  
  23.  *  DRIP is composed of four main libraries:
  24.  *  
  25.  *  - DRIP Fixed Income - https://lakshmidrip.github.io/DRIP-Fixed-Income/
  26.  *  - DRIP Asset Allocation - https://lakshmidrip.github.io/DRIP-Asset-Allocation/
  27.  *  - DRIP Numerical Optimizer - https://lakshmidrip.github.io/DRIP-Numerical-Optimizer/
  28.  *  - DRIP Statistical Learning - https://lakshmidrip.github.io/DRIP-Statistical-Learning/
  29.  *
  30.  *  - DRIP Fixed Income: Library for Instrument/Trading Conventions, Treasury Futures/Options,
  31.  *      Funding/Forward/Overnight Curves, Multi-Curve Construction/Valuation, Collateral Valuation and XVA
  32.  *      Metric Generation, Calibration and Hedge Attributions, Statistical Curve Construction, Bond RV
  33.  *      Metrics, Stochastic Evolution and Option Pricing, Interest Rate Dynamics and Option Pricing, LMM
  34.  *      Extensions/Calibrations/Greeks, Algorithmic Differentiation, and Asset Backed Models and Analytics.
  35.  *
  36.  *  - DRIP Asset Allocation: Library for model libraries for MPT framework, Black Litterman Strategy
  37.  *      Incorporator, Holdings Constraint, and Transaction Costs.
  38.  *
  39.  *  - DRIP Numerical Optimizer: Library for Numerical Optimization and Spline Functionality.
  40.  *
  41.  *  - DRIP Statistical Learning: Library for Statistical Evaluation and Machine Learning.
  42.  *
  43.  *  Licensed under the Apache License, Version 2.0 (the "License");
  44.  *      you may not use this file except in compliance with the License.
  45.  *  
  46.  *  You may obtain a copy of the License at
  47.  *      http://www.apache.org/licenses/LICENSE-2.0
  48.  *  
  49.  *  Unless required by applicable law or agreed to in writing, software
  50.  *      distributed under the License is distributed on an "AS IS" BASIS,
  51.  *      WITHOUT WARRANTIES OR CONDITIONS OF ANY KIND, either express or implied.
  52.  *  
  53.  *  See the License for the specific language governing permissions and
  54.  *      limitations under the License.
  55.  */

  56. /**
  57.  * CommodityVegaMargin21 illustrates the Computation of the SIMM 2.1 Vega Margin for across a Group of
  58.  *  Commodity Bucket Exposure Sensitivities. The References are:
  59.  *  
  60.  *  - Andersen, L. B. G., M. Pykhtin, and A. Sokol (2017): Credit Exposure in the Presence of Initial Margin,
  61.  *      https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2806156, eSSRN.
  62.  *  
  63.  *  - Albanese, C., S. Caenazzo, and O. Frankel (2017): Regression Sensitivities for Initial Margin
  64.  *      Calculations, https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2763488, eSSRN.
  65.  *  
  66.  *  - Anfuso, F., D. Aziz, P. Giltinan, and K. Loukopoulus (2017): A Sound Modeling and Back-testing
  67.  *      Framework for Forecasting Initial Margin Requirements,
  68.  *      https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2716279, eSSRN.
  69.  *  
  70.  *  - Caspers, P., P. Giltinan, R. Lichters, and N. Nowaczyk (2017): Forecasting Initial Margin Requirements
  71.  *      - A Model Evaluation https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2911167, eSSRN.
  72.  *  
  73.  *  - International Swaps and Derivatives Association (2017): SIMM v2.0 Methodology,
  74.  *      https://www.isda.org/a/oFiDE/isda-simm-v2.pdf.
  75.  *
  76.  * @author Lakshmi Krishnamurthy
  77.  */

  78. public class CommodityVegaMargin21
  79. {

  80.     private static final void AddBucketRiskFactorSensitivity (
  81.         final Map<String, Map<String, Double>> bucketRiskFactorSensitivityMap,
  82.         final int bucketIndex,
  83.         final double notional,
  84.         final String commodity)
  85.     {
  86.         Map<String, Double> riskFactorSensitivityMap = new CaseInsensitiveHashMap<Double>();

  87.         riskFactorSensitivityMap.put (
  88.             commodity,
  89.             notional * (Math.random() - 0.5)
  90.         );

  91.         bucketRiskFactorSensitivityMap.put (
  92.             "" + bucketIndex,
  93.             riskFactorSensitivityMap
  94.         );
  95.     }

  96.     private static final Map<String, Map<String, Double>> BucketRiskFactorSensitivityMap (
  97.         final double notional)
  98.         throws Exception
  99.     {
  100.         Map<String, Map<String, Double>> bucketRiskFactorSensitivityMap =
  101.             new HashMap<String, Map<String, Double>>();

  102.         AddBucketRiskFactorSensitivity (
  103.             bucketRiskFactorSensitivityMap,
  104.             1,
  105.             notional,
  106.             "COAL                          "
  107.         );

  108.         AddBucketRiskFactorSensitivity (
  109.             bucketRiskFactorSensitivityMap,
  110.             2,
  111.             notional,
  112.             "CRUDE                         "
  113.         );

  114.         AddBucketRiskFactorSensitivity (
  115.             bucketRiskFactorSensitivityMap,
  116.             3,
  117.             notional,
  118.             "LIGHT ENDS                    "
  119.         );

  120.         AddBucketRiskFactorSensitivity (
  121.             bucketRiskFactorSensitivityMap,
  122.             4,
  123.             notional,
  124.             "MIDDLE DISTILLATES            "
  125.         );

  126.         AddBucketRiskFactorSensitivity (
  127.             bucketRiskFactorSensitivityMap,
  128.             5,
  129.             notional,
  130.             "HEAVY DISTILLATES             "
  131.         );

  132.         AddBucketRiskFactorSensitivity (
  133.             bucketRiskFactorSensitivityMap,
  134.             6,
  135.             notional,
  136.             "NORTH AMERICAN NATURAL GAS    "
  137.         );

  138.         AddBucketRiskFactorSensitivity (
  139.             bucketRiskFactorSensitivityMap,
  140.             7,
  141.             notional,
  142.             "EUROPEAN NATURAL GAS          "
  143.         );

  144.         AddBucketRiskFactorSensitivity (
  145.             bucketRiskFactorSensitivityMap,
  146.             8,
  147.             notional,
  148.             "NORTH AMERICAN POWER          "
  149.         );

  150.         AddBucketRiskFactorSensitivity (
  151.             bucketRiskFactorSensitivityMap,
  152.             9,
  153.             notional,
  154.             "EUROPEAN POWER                "
  155.         );

  156.         AddBucketRiskFactorSensitivity (
  157.             bucketRiskFactorSensitivityMap,
  158.             10,
  159.             notional,
  160.             "FREIGHT                       "
  161.         );

  162.         AddBucketRiskFactorSensitivity (
  163.             bucketRiskFactorSensitivityMap,
  164.             11,
  165.             notional,
  166.             "BASE METALS                   "
  167.         );

  168.         AddBucketRiskFactorSensitivity (
  169.             bucketRiskFactorSensitivityMap,
  170.             12,
  171.             notional,
  172.             "PRECIOUS METALS               "
  173.         );

  174.         AddBucketRiskFactorSensitivity (
  175.             bucketRiskFactorSensitivityMap,
  176.             13,
  177.             notional,
  178.             "GRAINS                        "
  179.         );

  180.         AddBucketRiskFactorSensitivity (
  181.             bucketRiskFactorSensitivityMap,
  182.             14,
  183.             notional,
  184.             "SOFTS                         "
  185.         );

  186.         AddBucketRiskFactorSensitivity (
  187.             bucketRiskFactorSensitivityMap,
  188.             15,
  189.             notional,
  190.             "LIVESTOCK                     "
  191.         );

  192.         AddBucketRiskFactorSensitivity (
  193.             bucketRiskFactorSensitivityMap,
  194.             16,
  195.             notional,
  196.             "OTHER                         "
  197.         );

  198.         AddBucketRiskFactorSensitivity (
  199.             bucketRiskFactorSensitivityMap,
  200.             17,
  201.             notional,
  202.             "INDEXES                       "
  203.         );

  204.         return bucketRiskFactorSensitivityMap;
  205.     }

  206.     private static final void DisplayBucketRiskFactorSensitivity (
  207.         final Map<String, Map<String, Double>> bucketRiskFactorSensitivityMap)
  208.         throws Exception
  209.     {
  210.         System.out.println ("\t|------------------------------------------------||");

  211.         System.out.println ("\t|               RISK FACTOR VEGA                 ||");

  212.         System.out.println ("\t|------------------------------------------------||");

  213.         System.out.println ("\t|  L -> R:                                       ||");

  214.         System.out.println ("\t|    - Ticker                                    ||");

  215.         System.out.println ("\t|    - Bucket                                    ||");

  216.         System.out.println ("\t|    - Vega                                      ||");

  217.         System.out.println ("\t|------------------------------------------------||");

  218.         for (Map.Entry<String, Map<String, Double>> bucketSensitivityMapEntry :
  219.             bucketRiskFactorSensitivityMap.entrySet())
  220.         {
  221.             String bucketIndex = bucketSensitivityMapEntry.getKey();

  222.             Map<String, Double> riskFactorSensitivityMap = bucketSensitivityMapEntry.getValue();

  223.             for (Map.Entry<String, Double> riskFactorSensitivityMapEntry :
  224.                 riskFactorSensitivityMap.entrySet())
  225.             {
  226.                 String currency = riskFactorSensitivityMapEntry.getKey();

  227.                 double riskFactorSensitivity = riskFactorSensitivityMapEntry.getValue();

  228.                 System.out.println (
  229.                     "\t| " +
  230.                     currency + " => " +
  231.                     FormatUtil.FormatDouble (Integer.parseInt (bucketIndex), 2, 0, 1.) + " | " +
  232.                     FormatUtil.FormatDouble (riskFactorSensitivity, 2, 2, 1.) + " ||"
  233.                 );
  234.             }
  235.         }

  236.         System.out.println ("\t|------------------------------------------------||");

  237.         System.out.println();
  238.     }

  239.     public static final void main (
  240.         final String[] inputArray)
  241.         throws Exception
  242.     {
  243.         EnvManager.InitEnv ("");

  244.         double notional = 100.;

  245.         MarginEstimationSettings marginEstimationSettings = MarginEstimationSettings.CornishFischer
  246.             (MarginEstimationSettings.POSITION_PRINCIPAL_COMPONENT_COVARIANCE_ESTIMATOR_ISDA);

  247.         RiskMeasureSensitivitySettings riskMeasureSensitivitySettings =
  248.             RiskMeasureSensitivitySettings.ISDA_CT_VEGA_21();

  249.         Map<String, Map<String, Double>> bucketRiskFactorSensitivityMap = BucketRiskFactorSensitivityMap
  250.             (notional);

  251.         DisplayBucketRiskFactorSensitivity (bucketRiskFactorSensitivityMap);

  252.         Map<String, BucketSensitivity> bucketSensitivityMap = new HashMap<String, BucketSensitivity>();

  253.         System.out.println ("\t|------------------------||");

  254.         System.out.println ("\t|    BUCKET AGGREGATE    ||");

  255.         System.out.println ("\t|------------------------||");

  256.         System.out.println ("\t|  L -> R:               ||");

  257.         System.out.println ("\t|    - Bucket Index      ||");

  258.         System.out.println ("\t|    - Bucket Margin     ||");

  259.         System.out.println ("\t|    - Bucket Vega       ||");

  260.         System.out.println ("\t|------------------------||");

  261.         for (Map.Entry<String, Map<String, Double>> bucketSensitivityMapEntry :
  262.             bucketRiskFactorSensitivityMap.entrySet())
  263.         {
  264.             String bucketIndex = bucketSensitivityMapEntry.getKey();

  265.             BucketSensitivity bucketSensitivity = new BucketSensitivity
  266.                 (bucketSensitivityMapEntry.getValue());

  267.             bucketSensitivityMap.put (
  268.                 "" + bucketIndex,
  269.                 bucketSensitivity
  270.             );

  271.             BucketAggregate bucketAggregate = bucketSensitivity.aggregate
  272.                 (riskMeasureSensitivitySettings.bucketSettingsMap().get (bucketIndex));

  273.             System.out.println ("\t| " +
  274.                 FormatUtil.FormatDouble (Integer.parseInt (bucketIndex), 2, 0, 1.) + " => " +
  275.                 FormatUtil.FormatDouble (Math.sqrt (bucketAggregate.sensitivityMarginVariance()), 5, 0, 1.) + " | " +
  276.                 FormatUtil.FormatDouble (bucketAggregate.cumulativeSensitivityMargin(), 5, 0, 1.) + " ||"
  277.             );
  278.         }

  279.         System.out.println ("\t|------------------------||");

  280.         System.out.println();

  281.         RiskMeasureAggregate riskMeasureAggregate = new
  282.             RiskMeasureSensitivity (bucketSensitivityMap).linearAggregate (
  283.                 riskMeasureSensitivitySettings,
  284.                 marginEstimationSettings
  285.             );

  286.         System.out.println ("\t|-----------------------------------------------------||");

  287.         System.out.println ("\t|               SBA BASED VEGA MARGIN                 ||");

  288.         System.out.println ("\t|-----------------------------------------------------||");

  289.         System.out.println ("\t|                                                     ||");

  290.         System.out.println ("\t|    L -> R:                                          ||");

  291.         System.out.println ("\t|                                                     ||");

  292.         System.out.println ("\t|            - Core Vega SBA Margin                   ||");

  293.         System.out.println ("\t|            - Residual Vega SBA Margin               ||");

  294.         System.out.println ("\t|            - SBA Vega Margin                        ||");

  295.         System.out.println ("\t|-----------------------------------------------------||");

  296.         System.out.println ("\t| VEGA MARGIN COMPONENTS  => " +
  297.             FormatUtil.FormatDouble (Math.sqrt (riskMeasureAggregate.coreSBAVariance()), 5, 0, 1.) +
  298.                 " | " +
  299.             FormatUtil.FormatDouble (Math.sqrt (riskMeasureAggregate.residualSBAVariance()), 5, 0, 1.) +
  300.                 " | " +
  301.             FormatUtil.FormatDouble (riskMeasureAggregate.sba(), 5, 0, 1.) + " ||"
  302.         );

  303.         System.out.println ("\t|-----------------------------------------------------||");

  304.         EnvManager.TerminateEnv();
  305.     }
  306. }