RiskMeasureSensitivityIR.java

  1. package org.drip.simm.product;

  2. /*
  3.  * -*- mode: java; tab-width: 4; indent-tabs-mode: nil; c-basic-offset: 4 -*-
  4.  */

  5. /*!
  6.  * Copyright (C) 2020 Lakshmi Krishnamurthy
  7.  * Copyright (C) 2019 Lakshmi Krishnamurthy
  8.  * Copyright (C) 2018 Lakshmi Krishnamurthy
  9.  *
  10.  *  This file is part of DROP, an open-source library targeting analytics/risk, transaction cost analytics,
  11.  *      asset liability management analytics, capital, exposure, and margin analytics, valuation adjustment
  12.  *      analytics, and portfolio construction analytics within and across fixed income, credit, commodity,
  13.  *      equity, FX, and structured products. It also includes auxiliary libraries for algorithm support,
  14.  *      numerical analysis, numerical optimization, spline builder, model validation, statistical learning,
  15.  *      and computational support.
  16.  *  
  17.  *      https://lakshmidrip.github.io/DROP/
  18.  *  
  19.  *  DROP is composed of three modules:
  20.  *  
  21.  *  - DROP Product Core - https://lakshmidrip.github.io/DROP-Product-Core/
  22.  *  - DROP Portfolio Core - https://lakshmidrip.github.io/DROP-Portfolio-Core/
  23.  *  - DROP Computational Core - https://lakshmidrip.github.io/DROP-Computational-Core/
  24.  *
  25.  *  DROP Product Core implements libraries for the following:
  26.  *  - Fixed Income Analytics
  27.  *  - Loan Analytics
  28.  *  - Transaction Cost Analytics
  29.  *
  30.  *  DROP Portfolio Core implements libraries for the following:
  31.  *  - Asset Allocation Analytics
  32.  *  - Asset Liability Management Analytics
  33.  *  - Capital Estimation Analytics
  34.  *  - Exposure Analytics
  35.  *  - Margin Analytics
  36.  *  - XVA Analytics
  37.  *
  38.  *  DROP Computational Core implements libraries for the following:
  39.  *  - Algorithm Support
  40.  *  - Computation Support
  41.  *  - Function Analysis
  42.  *  - Model Validation
  43.  *  - Numerical Analysis
  44.  *  - Numerical Optimizer
  45.  *  - Spline Builder
  46.  *  - Statistical Learning
  47.  *
  48.  *  Documentation for DROP is Spread Over:
  49.  *
  50.  *  - Main                     => https://lakshmidrip.github.io/DROP/
  51.  *  - Wiki                     => https://github.com/lakshmiDRIP/DROP/wiki
  52.  *  - GitHub                   => https://github.com/lakshmiDRIP/DROP
  53.  *  - Repo Layout Taxonomy     => https://github.com/lakshmiDRIP/DROP/blob/master/Taxonomy.md
  54.  *  - Javadoc                  => https://lakshmidrip.github.io/DROP/Javadoc/index.html
  55.  *  - Technical Specifications => https://github.com/lakshmiDRIP/DROP/tree/master/Docs/Internal
  56.  *  - Release Versions         => https://lakshmidrip.github.io/DROP/version.html
  57.  *  - Community Credits        => https://lakshmidrip.github.io/DROP/credits.html
  58.  *  - Issues Catalog           => https://github.com/lakshmiDRIP/DROP/issues
  59.  *  - JUnit                    => https://lakshmidrip.github.io/DROP/junit/index.html
  60.  *  - Jacoco                   => https://lakshmidrip.github.io/DROP/jacoco/index.html
  61.  *
  62.  *  Licensed under the Apache License, Version 2.0 (the "License");
  63.  *      you may not use this file except in compliance with the License.
  64.  *  
  65.  *  You may obtain a copy of the License at
  66.  *      http://www.apache.org/licenses/LICENSE-2.0
  67.  *  
  68.  *  Unless required by applicable law or agreed to in writing, software
  69.  *      distributed under the License is distributed on an "AS IS" BASIS,
  70.  *      WITHOUT WARRANTIES OR CONDITIONS OF ANY KIND, either express or implied.
  71.  *  
  72.  *  See the License for the specific language governing permissions and
  73.  *      limitations under the License.
  74.  */

  75. /**
  76.  * <i>RiskMeasureSensitivityIR</i> holds the Risk Class Bucket Sensitivities for the IR Risk Measure. The
  77.  * References are:
  78.  *
  79.  * <br><br>
  80.  *  <ul>
  81.  *      <li>
  82.  *          Andersen, L. B. G., M. Pykhtin, and A. Sokol (2017): Credit Exposure in the Presence of Initial
  83.  *              Margin https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2806156 <b>eSSRN</b>
  84.  *      </li>
  85.  *      <li>
  86.  *          Albanese, C., S. Caenazzo, and O. Frankel (2017): Regression Sensitivities for Initial Margin
  87.  *              Calculations https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2763488 <b>eSSRN</b>
  88.  *      </li>
  89.  *      <li>
  90.  *          Anfuso, F., D. Aziz, P. Giltinan, and K. Loukopoulus (2017): A Sound Modeling and Back-testing
  91.  *              Framework for Forecasting Initial Margin Requirements
  92.  *                  https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2716279 <b>eSSRN</b>
  93.  *      </li>
  94.  *      <li>
  95.  *          Caspers, P., P. Giltinan, R. Lichters, and N. Nowaczyk (2017): Forecasting Initial Margin
  96.  *              Requirements - A Model Evaluation https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2911167
  97.  *                  <b>eSSRN</b>
  98.  *      </li>
  99.  *      <li>
  100.  *          International Swaps and Derivatives Association (2017): SIMM v2.0 Methodology
  101.  *              https://www.isda.org/a/oFiDE/isda-simm-v2.pdf
  102.  *      </li>
  103.  *  </ul>
  104.  *
  105.  * <br><br>
  106.  *  <ul>
  107.  *      <li><b>Module </b> = <a href = "https://github.com/lakshmiDRIP/DROP/tree/master/PortfolioCore.md">Portfolio Core Module</a></li>
  108.  *      <li><b>Library</b> = <a href = "https://github.com/lakshmiDRIP/DROP/tree/master/MarginAnalyticsLibrary.md">Initial and Variation Margin Analytics</a></li>
  109.  *      <li><b>Project</b> = <a href = "https://github.com/lakshmiDRIP/DROP/tree/master/src/main/java/org/drip/simm/README.md">Initial Margin Analytics based on ISDA SIMM and its Variants</a></li>
  110.  *      <li><b>Package</b> = <a href = "https://github.com/lakshmiDRIP/DROP/tree/master/src/main/java/org/drip/simm/product/README.md">ISDA SIMM Risk Factor Sensitivities</a></li>
  111.  *  </ul>
  112.  * <br><br>
  113.  *
  114.  * @author Lakshmi Krishnamurthy
  115.  */

  116. public class RiskMeasureSensitivityIR
  117. {
  118.     private java.util.Map<java.lang.String, org.drip.simm.product.BucketSensitivityIR> _bucketSensitivityMap
  119.         = null;

  120.     private static final double PositionPrincipalComponentCovariance (
  121.         final org.drip.simm.margin.BucketAggregateIR bucketAggregate,
  122.         final org.drip.simm.foundation.MarginEstimationSettings marginEstimationSettings)
  123.         throws java.lang.Exception
  124.     {
  125.         java.lang.String positionPrincipalComponentScheme =
  126.             marginEstimationSettings.positionPrincipalComponentScheme();

  127.         if (positionPrincipalComponentScheme.equalsIgnoreCase
  128.             (org.drip.simm.foundation.MarginEstimationSettings.POSITION_PRINCIPAL_COMPONENT_COVARIANCE_ESTIMATOR_FRTB))
  129.         {
  130.             return bucketAggregate.positionPrincipalComponentCovarianceFRTB();
  131.         }

  132.         if (positionPrincipalComponentScheme.equalsIgnoreCase
  133.             (org.drip.simm.foundation.MarginEstimationSettings.POSITION_PRINCIPAL_COMPONENT_COVARIANCE_ESTIMATOR_ISDA))
  134.         {
  135.             return bucketAggregate.positionPrincipalComponentCovarianceISDA();
  136.         }

  137.         throw new java.lang.Exception
  138.             ("RiskMeasureSensitivityIR::PositionPrincipalComponentCovariance => Invalid Inputs");
  139.     }

  140.     /**
  141.      * RiskMeasureSensitivityIR Constructor
  142.      *
  143.      * @param bucketSensitivityMap The IR Class Bucket Sensitivity Map
  144.      *
  145.      * @throws java.lang.Exception Thrown if the Inputs are Invalid
  146.      */

  147.     public RiskMeasureSensitivityIR (
  148.         final java.util.Map<java.lang.String, org.drip.simm.product.BucketSensitivityIR>
  149.             bucketSensitivityMap)
  150.         throws java.lang.Exception
  151.     {
  152.         if (null == (_bucketSensitivityMap = bucketSensitivityMap) || 0 == _bucketSensitivityMap.size())
  153.         {
  154.             throw new java.lang.Exception ("RiskMeasureSensitivityIR Constructor => Invalid Inputs");
  155.         }
  156.     }

  157.     /**
  158.      * Retrieve the Risk Class Bucket Sensitivity Map
  159.      *
  160.      * @return The Risk Class Bucket Sensitivity Map
  161.      */

  162.     public java.util.Map<java.lang.String, org.drip.simm.product.BucketSensitivityIR>
  163.         bucketSensitivityMap()
  164.     {
  165.         return _bucketSensitivityMap;
  166.     }

  167.     /**
  168.      * Generate the Linear Risk Measure Aggregate
  169.      *
  170.      * @param riskMeasureSensitivitySettings The Risk Measure Sensitivity Settings
  171.      * @param marginEstimationSettings Margin Estimation Settings
  172.      *
  173.      * @return The Linear Risk Measure Aggregate
  174.      */

  175.     public org.drip.simm.margin.RiskMeasureAggregateIR linearAggregate (
  176.         final org.drip.simm.parameters.RiskMeasureSensitivitySettingsIR riskMeasureSensitivitySettings,
  177.         final org.drip.simm.foundation.MarginEstimationSettings marginEstimationSettings)
  178.     {
  179.         if (null == riskMeasureSensitivitySettings ||
  180.             null == marginEstimationSettings)
  181.         {
  182.             return null;
  183.         }

  184.         double coreSBAVariance = 0.;

  185.         java.util.Map<java.lang.String, org.drip.simm.margin.BucketAggregateIR> bucketAggregateMap = new
  186.             java.util.TreeMap<java.lang.String, org.drip.simm.margin.BucketAggregateIR>();

  187.         java.util.Map<java.lang.String, org.drip.simm.parameters.BucketSensitivitySettingsIR>
  188.             bucketSensitivitySettingsMap = riskMeasureSensitivitySettings.bucketSensitivitySettingsMap();

  189.         org.drip.measure.stochastic.LabelCorrelation crossBucketCorrelation =
  190.             riskMeasureSensitivitySettings.crossBucketCorrelation();

  191.         for (java.util.Map.Entry<java.lang.String, org.drip.simm.product.BucketSensitivityIR>
  192.             bucketSensitivityMapEntry : _bucketSensitivityMap.entrySet())
  193.         {
  194.             java.lang.String bucketIndex = bucketSensitivityMapEntry.getKey();

  195.             org.drip.simm.product.BucketSensitivityIR bucketSensitivity =
  196.                 bucketSensitivityMapEntry.getValue();

  197.             org.drip.simm.margin.BucketAggregateIR bucketAggregate = bucketSensitivity.aggregate
  198.                 (bucketSensitivitySettingsMap.get (bucketIndex));

  199.             if (null == bucketAggregate)
  200.             {
  201.                 return null;
  202.             }

  203.             bucketAggregateMap.put (
  204.                 "" + bucketIndex,
  205.                 bucketAggregate
  206.             );
  207.         }

  208.         try
  209.         {
  210.             for (java.util.Map.Entry<java.lang.String, org.drip.simm.margin.BucketAggregateIR>
  211.                 bucketAggregateMapOuterEntry : bucketAggregateMap.entrySet())
  212.             {
  213.                 java.lang.String outerKey = bucketAggregateMapOuterEntry.getKey();

  214.                 org.drip.simm.margin.BucketAggregateIR bucketAggregateOuter =
  215.                     bucketAggregateMapOuterEntry.getValue();

  216.                 double weightedSensitivityVarianceOuter = bucketAggregateOuter.sensitivityMarginVariance();

  217.                 double positionPrincipalComponentCovarianceOuter = PositionPrincipalComponentCovariance (
  218.                     bucketAggregateOuter,
  219.                     marginEstimationSettings
  220.                 );

  221.                 for (java.util.Map.Entry<java.lang.String, org.drip.simm.margin.BucketAggregateIR>
  222.                     bucketAggregateMapInnerEntry : bucketAggregateMap.entrySet())
  223.                 {
  224.                     java.lang.String innerKey = bucketAggregateMapInnerEntry.getKey();

  225.                     coreSBAVariance = coreSBAVariance + (outerKey.equalsIgnoreCase (innerKey) ?
  226.                         weightedSensitivityVarianceOuter : crossBucketCorrelation.entry (
  227.                             outerKey,
  228.                             innerKey
  229.                         ) * positionPrincipalComponentCovarianceOuter *
  230.                         PositionPrincipalComponentCovariance (
  231.                             bucketAggregateMapInnerEntry.getValue(),
  232.                             marginEstimationSettings
  233.                         )
  234.                     );
  235.                 }
  236.             }

  237.             return new org.drip.simm.margin.RiskMeasureAggregateIR (
  238.                 bucketAggregateMap,
  239.                 coreSBAVariance,
  240.                 0.
  241.             );
  242.         }
  243.         catch (java.lang.Exception e)
  244.         {
  245.             e.printStackTrace();
  246.         }

  247.         return null;
  248.     }

  249.     /**
  250.      * Generate the Curvature Risk Measure Aggregate
  251.      *
  252.      * @param riskMeasureSensitivitySettings The Risk Measure Sensitivity Settings
  253.      * @param marginEstimationSettings Margin Estimation Settings
  254.      *
  255.      * @return The Curvature Risk Measure Aggregate
  256.      */

  257.     public org.drip.simm.margin.RiskMeasureAggregateIR curvatureAggregate (
  258.         final org.drip.simm.parameters.RiskMeasureSensitivitySettingsIR riskMeasureSensitivitySettings,
  259.         final org.drip.simm.foundation.MarginEstimationSettings marginEstimationSettings)
  260.     {
  261.         if (null == riskMeasureSensitivitySettings || null == marginEstimationSettings)
  262.         {
  263.             return null;
  264.         }

  265.         double coreSBAVariance = 0.;
  266.         double cumulativeRiskFactorSensitivityMarginCore = 0.;
  267.         double cumulativeRiskFactorSensitivityMarginCorePositive = 0.;

  268.         java.util.Map<java.lang.String, org.drip.simm.margin.BucketAggregateIR> bucketAggregateMap = new
  269.             java.util.TreeMap<java.lang.String, org.drip.simm.margin.BucketAggregateIR>();

  270.         java.util.Map<java.lang.String, org.drip.simm.parameters.BucketSensitivitySettingsIR>
  271.             bucketSensitivitySettingsMap = riskMeasureSensitivitySettings.bucketSensitivitySettingsMap();

  272.         org.drip.measure.stochastic.LabelCorrelation crossBucketCorrelation =
  273.             riskMeasureSensitivitySettings.crossBucketCorrelation();

  274.         org.drip.simm.foundation.CurvatureEstimator curvatureEstimator =
  275.             marginEstimationSettings.curvatureEstimator();

  276.         boolean isCorrelatorQuadratric = curvatureEstimator.isCorrelatorQuadratric();

  277.         for (java.util.Map.Entry<java.lang.String, org.drip.simm.product.BucketSensitivityIR>
  278.             bucketSensitivityMapEntry : _bucketSensitivityMap.entrySet())
  279.         {
  280.             java.lang.String bucketIndex = bucketSensitivityMapEntry.getKey();

  281.             org.drip.simm.product.BucketSensitivityIR bucketSensitivity =
  282.                 bucketSensitivityMapEntry.getValue();

  283.             org.drip.simm.margin.BucketAggregateIR bucketAggregate = bucketSensitivity.aggregate
  284.                 (bucketSensitivitySettingsMap.get (bucketIndex));

  285.             if (null == bucketAggregate)
  286.             {
  287.                 return null;
  288.             }

  289.             double bucketCumulativeRiskFactorSensitivityMargin =
  290.                 bucketAggregate.cumulativeSensitivityMargin();

  291.             cumulativeRiskFactorSensitivityMarginCore = cumulativeRiskFactorSensitivityMarginCore +
  292.                 bucketCumulativeRiskFactorSensitivityMargin;

  293.             cumulativeRiskFactorSensitivityMarginCorePositive =
  294.                 cumulativeRiskFactorSensitivityMarginCorePositive +
  295.                 java.lang.Math.max (
  296.                     bucketCumulativeRiskFactorSensitivityMargin,
  297.                     0.
  298.                 );

  299.             bucketAggregateMap.put (
  300.                 bucketIndex,
  301.                 bucketAggregate
  302.             );
  303.         }

  304.         try
  305.         {
  306.             for (java.util.Map.Entry<java.lang.String, org.drip.simm.margin.BucketAggregateIR>
  307.                 bucketAggregateMapOuterEntry : bucketAggregateMap.entrySet())
  308.             {
  309.                 java.lang.String outerKey = bucketAggregateMapOuterEntry.getKey();

  310.                 org.drip.simm.margin.BucketAggregateIR bucketAggregateOuter =
  311.                     bucketAggregateMapOuterEntry.getValue();

  312.                 double weightedSensitivityVarianceOuter = bucketAggregateOuter.sensitivityMarginVariance();

  313.                 double positionPrincipalComponentCovarianceOuter = PositionPrincipalComponentCovariance (
  314.                     bucketAggregateOuter,
  315.                     marginEstimationSettings
  316.                 );

  317.                 for (java.util.Map.Entry<java.lang.String, org.drip.simm.margin.BucketAggregateIR>
  318.                     bucketAggregateMapInnerEntry : bucketAggregateMap.entrySet())
  319.                 {
  320.                     java.lang.String innerKey = bucketAggregateMapInnerEntry.getKey();

  321.                     if (outerKey.equalsIgnoreCase (innerKey))
  322.                     {
  323.                         coreSBAVariance = coreSBAVariance + weightedSensitivityVarianceOuter;
  324.                     }
  325.                     else
  326.                     {
  327.                         double correlation = crossBucketCorrelation.entry (
  328.                             "" + outerKey,
  329.                             "" + innerKey
  330.                         );

  331.                         double curvatureCorrelation = isCorrelatorQuadratric ? correlation * correlation
  332.                             : correlation;

  333.                         org.drip.simm.margin.BucketAggregateIR bucketAggregateInner =
  334.                             bucketAggregateMapInnerEntry.getValue();

  335.                         coreSBAVariance = coreSBAVariance + curvatureCorrelation *
  336.                             positionPrincipalComponentCovarianceOuter *
  337.                             curvatureEstimator.varianceModulator (
  338.                                 outerKey,
  339.                                 weightedSensitivityVarianceOuter,
  340.                                 innerKey,
  341.                                 bucketAggregateInner.sensitivityMarginVariance()
  342.                             ) * PositionPrincipalComponentCovariance (
  343.                                 bucketAggregateInner,
  344.                                 marginEstimationSettings
  345.                             );
  346.                     }
  347.                 }
  348.             }

  349.             double coreSBAMargin = curvatureEstimator.margin (
  350.                 cumulativeRiskFactorSensitivityMarginCore,
  351.                 cumulativeRiskFactorSensitivityMarginCorePositive,
  352.                 coreSBAVariance
  353.             );

  354.             return new org.drip.simm.margin.RiskMeasureAggregateIR (
  355.                 bucketAggregateMap,
  356.                 coreSBAMargin * coreSBAMargin,
  357.                 0.
  358.             );
  359.         }
  360.         catch (java.lang.Exception e)
  361.         {
  362.             e.printStackTrace();
  363.         }

  364.         return null;
  365.     }
  366. }