ReferenceForwardState.java

package org.drip.template.state;

import org.drip.analytics.date.*;
import org.drip.numerical.common.FormatUtil;
import org.drip.service.env.EnvManager;
import org.drip.service.template.LatentMarketStateBuilder;
import org.drip.state.discount.*;
import org.drip.state.forward.ForwardCurve;
import org.drip.state.identifier.ForwardLabel;

/*
 * -*- mode: java; tab-width: 4; indent-tabs-mode: nil; c-basic-offset: 4 -*-
 */

/*!
 * Copyright (C) 2020 Lakshmi Krishnamurthy
 * Copyright (C) 2019 Lakshmi Krishnamurthy
 * Copyright (C) 2018 Lakshmi Krishnamurthy
 * Copyright (C) 2017 Lakshmi Krishnamurthy
 * Copyright (C) 2016 Lakshmi Krishnamurthy
 * Copyright (C) 2015 Lakshmi Krishnamurthy
 * 
 *  This file is part of DROP, an open-source library targeting analytics/risk, transaction cost analytics,
 *  	asset liability management analytics, capital, exposure, and margin analytics, valuation adjustment
 *  	analytics, and portfolio construction analytics within and across fixed income, credit, commodity,
 *  	equity, FX, and structured products. It also includes auxiliary libraries for algorithm support,
 *  	numerical analysis, numerical optimization, spline builder, model validation, statistical learning,
 *  	and computational support.
 *  
 *  	https://lakshmidrip.github.io/DROP/
 *  
 *  DROP is composed of three modules:
 *  
 *  - DROP Product Core - https://lakshmidrip.github.io/DROP-Product-Core/
 *  - DROP Portfolio Core - https://lakshmidrip.github.io/DROP-Portfolio-Core/
 *  - DROP Computational Core - https://lakshmidrip.github.io/DROP-Computational-Core/
 * 
 * 	DROP Product Core implements libraries for the following:
 * 	- Fixed Income Analytics
 * 	- Loan Analytics
 * 	- Transaction Cost Analytics
 * 
 * 	DROP Portfolio Core implements libraries for the following:
 * 	- Asset Allocation Analytics
 *  - Asset Liability Management Analytics
 * 	- Capital Estimation Analytics
 * 	- Exposure Analytics
 * 	- Margin Analytics
 * 	- XVA Analytics
 * 
 * 	DROP Computational Core implements libraries for the following:
 * 	- Algorithm Support
 * 	- Computation Support
 * 	- Function Analysis
 *  - Model Validation
 * 	- Numerical Analysis
 * 	- Numerical Optimizer
 * 	- Spline Builder
 *  - Statistical Learning
 * 
 * 	Documentation for DROP is Spread Over:
 * 
 * 	- Main                     => https://lakshmidrip.github.io/DROP/
 * 	- Wiki                     => https://github.com/lakshmiDRIP/DROP/wiki
 * 	- GitHub                   => https://github.com/lakshmiDRIP/DROP
 * 	- Repo Layout Taxonomy     => https://github.com/lakshmiDRIP/DROP/blob/master/Taxonomy.md
 * 	- Javadoc                  => https://lakshmidrip.github.io/DROP/Javadoc/index.html
 * 	- Technical Specifications => https://github.com/lakshmiDRIP/DROP/tree/master/Docs/Internal
 * 	- Release Versions         => https://lakshmidrip.github.io/DROP/version.html
 * 	- Community Credits        => https://lakshmidrip.github.io/DROP/credits.html
 * 	- Issues Catalog           => https://github.com/lakshmiDRIP/DROP/issues
 * 	- JUnit                    => https://lakshmidrip.github.io/DROP/junit/index.html
 * 	- Jacoco                   => https://lakshmidrip.github.io/DROP/jacoco/index.html
 * 
 *  Licensed under the Apache License, Version 2.0 (the "License");
 *   	you may not use this file except in compliance with the License.
 *   
 *  You may obtain a copy of the License at
 *  	http://www.apache.org/licenses/LICENSE-2.0
 *  
 *  Unless required by applicable law or agreed to in writing, software
 *  	distributed under the License is distributed on an "AS IS" BASIS,
 *  	WITHOUT WARRANTIES OR CONDITIONS OF ANY KIND, either express or implied.
 *  
 *  See the License for the specific language governing permissions and
 *  	limitations under the License.
 */

/**
 * <i>ReferenceForwardState</i> sets up the Calibration of the Reference Forward Latent State and examine the
 * Emitted Metrics.
 *
 *  <br><br>
 *  <ul>
 *		<li><b>Module </b> = <a href = "https://github.com/lakshmiDRIP/DROP/tree/master/ProductCore.md">Product Core Module</a></li>
 *		<li><b>Library</b> = <a href = "https://github.com/lakshmiDRIP/DROP/tree/master/FixedIncomeAnalyticsLibrary.md">Fixed Income Analytics</a></li>
 *		<li><b>Project</b> = <a href = "https://github.com/lakshmiDRIP/DROP/tree/master/src/main/java/org/drip/template/README.md">Pricing/Risk Templates for Fixed Income Component Products</a></li>
 *		<li><b>Package</b> = <a href = "https://github.com/lakshmiDRIP/DROP/tree/master/src/main/java/org/drip/template/state/README.md">Standard Latent State Construction Template</a></li>
 *  </ul>
 * <br><br>
 * 
 * @author Lakshmi Krishnamurthy
 */

public class ReferenceForwardState {

	private static final MergedDiscountForwardCurve OvernightCurve (
		final JulianDate dtSpot,
		final String strCurrency)
		throws Exception
	{
		EnvManager.InitEnv ("");

		String[] astrDepositMaturityTenor = new String[] {
			"1D",
			// "2D",
			"3D"
		};

		double[] adblDepositQuote = new double[] {
			0.0004,		// 1D
			// 0.0004,		// 2D
			0.0004		// 3D
		};

		String[] astrShortEndOISMaturityTenor = new String[] {
			"1W",
			"2W",
			"3W",
			"1M"
		};

		double[] adblShortEndOISQuote = new double[] {
			0.00070,    //   1W
			0.00069,    //   2W
			0.00078,    //   3W
			0.00074     //   1M
		};

		String[] astrOISFuturesEffectiveTenor = new String[] {
			"1M",
			"2M",
			"3M",
			"4M",
			"5M"
		};

		String[] astrOISFuturesMaturityTenor = new String[] {
			"1M",
			"1M",
			"1M",
			"1M",
			"1M"
		};

		double[] adblOISFuturesQuote = new double[] {
			 0.00046,    //   1M x 1M
			 0.00016,    //   2M x 1M
			-0.00007,    //   3M x 1M
			-0.00013,    //   4M x 1M
			-0.00014     //   5M x 1M
		};

		String[] astrLongEndOISMaturityTenor = new String[] {
			"15M",
			"18M",
			"21M",
			"02Y",
			"03Y",
			"04Y",
			"05Y",
			"06Y",
			"07Y",
			"08Y",
			"09Y",
			"10Y",
			"11Y",
			"12Y",
			"15Y",
			"20Y",
			"25Y",
			"30Y"
		};

		double[] adblLongEndOISQuote = new double[] {
			0.00002,    //  15M
			0.00008,    //  18M
			0.00021,    //  21M
			0.00036,    //   2Y
			0.00127,    //   3Y
			0.00274,    //   4Y
			0.00456,    //   5Y
			0.00647,    //   6Y
			0.00827,    //   7Y
			0.00996,    //   8Y
			0.01147,    //   9Y
			0.01280,    //  10Y
			0.01404,    //  11Y
			0.01516,    //  12Y
			0.01764,    //  15Y
			0.01939,    //  20Y
			0.02003,    //  25Y
			0.02038     //  30Y
		};

		return LatentMarketStateBuilder.SmoothOvernightCurve (
			dtSpot,
			strCurrency,
			astrDepositMaturityTenor,
			adblDepositQuote,
			"Rate",
			astrShortEndOISMaturityTenor,
			adblShortEndOISQuote,
			"SwapRate",
			astrOISFuturesEffectiveTenor,
			astrOISFuturesMaturityTenor,
			adblOISFuturesQuote,
			"SwapRate",
			astrLongEndOISMaturityTenor,
			adblLongEndOISQuote,
			"SwapRate"
		);
	}

	public static final void main (
		final String[] astrArgs)
		throws Exception
	{
		/*
		 * Initialize the Credit Analytics Library
		 */

		EnvManager.InitEnv ("");

		String strCurrency = "GBP";
		String strForwardTenor = "6M";

		JulianDate dtSpot = DateUtil.CreateFromYMD (
			2017,
			DateUtil.DECEMBER,
			21
		);

		MergedDiscountForwardCurve dcOvernight = OvernightCurve (
			dtSpot,
			strCurrency
		);

		ForwardLabel forwardLabel = ForwardLabel.Create (
			strCurrency,
			strForwardTenor
		);

		String[] astrDepositMaturityTenor = new String[] {
			"1D",
			"1W",
			"2W",
			"3W",
			"1M",
			"2M",
			"3M",
			"4M",
			"5M"
		};

		double[] adblDepositQuote = new double[] {
			0.003565,	// 1D
			0.003858,	// 1W
			0.003840,	// 2W
			0.003922,	// 3W
			0.003869,	// 1M
			0.003698,	// 2M
			0.003527,	// 3M
			0.003342,	// 4M
			0.003225	// 5M
		};

		String[] astrFRAExerciseTenor = new String[] {
			"00D",
			"01M",
			"02M",
			"03M",
			"04M",
			"05M",
			"06M",
			"07M",
			"08M",
			"09M",
			"10M",
			"11M",
			"12M",
			"13M",
			"14M",
			"15M",
			"16M",
			"17M",
			"18M"
		};

		double[] adblFRAQuote = new double[] {
			0.003120,	//  0D
			0.002930,	//  1M
			0.002720,	//  2M
			0.002600,	//  3M
			0.002560,	//  4M
			0.002520,	//  5M
			0.002480,	//  6M
			0.002540,	//  7M
			0.002610,	//  8M
			0.002670,	//  9M
			0.002790,	// 10M
			0.002910,	// 11M
			0.003030,	// 12M
			0.003180,	// 13M
			0.003350,	// 14M
			0.003520,	// 15M
			0.003710,	// 16M
			0.003890,	// 17M
			0.004090	// 18M
		};

		String[] astrFixFloatMaturityTenor = new String[] {
			"03Y",
			"04Y",
			"05Y",
			"06Y",
			"07Y",
			"08Y",
			"09Y",
			"10Y",
			"12Y",
			"15Y",
			"20Y",
			"25Y",
			"30Y",
			"35Y",
			"40Y",
			"50Y",
			"60Y"
		};

		double[] adblFixFloatQuote = new double[] {
			0.004240,	//  3Y
			0.005760,	//  4Y			
			0.007620,	//  5Y
			0.009540,	//  6Y
			0.011350,	//  7Y
			0.013030,	//  8Y
			0.014520,	//  9Y
			0.015840,	// 10Y
			0.018090,	// 12Y
			0.020370,	// 15Y
			0.021870,	// 20Y
			0.022340,	// 25Y
			0.022560,	// 30Y
			0.022950,	// 35Y
			0.023480,	// 40Y
			0.024210,	// 50Y
			0.024630	// 60Y
		};

		ForwardCurve fcReference = LatentMarketStateBuilder.SmoothForwardCurve (
			dtSpot,
			forwardLabel,
			astrDepositMaturityTenor,
			adblDepositQuote,
			"ForwardRate",
			astrFRAExerciseTenor,
			adblFRAQuote,
			"ParForwardRate",
			astrFixFloatMaturityTenor,
			adblFixFloatQuote,
			"SwapRate",
			null,
			null,
			"DerivedParBasisSpread",
			null,
			null,
			"DerivedParBasisSpread",
			dcOvernight,
			null
		);

		String strLatentStateLabel = fcReference.label().fullyQualifiedName();

		System.out.println ("\n\n\t||-------------------------------------------------------------------------||");

		for (int i = 0; i < adblDepositQuote.length; ++i)
			System.out.println (
				"\t||  " + strLatentStateLabel +
				" |  DEPOSIT  | " + astrDepositMaturityTenor[i] + "  | " +
				FormatUtil.FormatDouble (adblDepositQuote[i], 1, 4, 100.) +
				"% | Forward Rate | " +
				FormatUtil.FormatDouble (fcReference.forward (astrDepositMaturityTenor[i]), 1, 4, 100.) +
				"%  ||"
			);

		System.out.println ("\t||-------------------------------------------------------------------------||");

		System.out.println ("\n\n\t||--------------------------------------------------------------------------||");

		for (int i = 0; i < adblFRAQuote.length; ++i)
			System.out.println (
				"\t||  " + strLatentStateLabel +
				" |  FRA  | " + astrFRAExerciseTenor[i] + "  | " +
				FormatUtil.FormatDouble (adblFRAQuote[i], 1, 4, 100.) +
				"% | Par Forward Rate | " +
				FormatUtil.FormatDouble (fcReference.forward (dtSpot.addTenor (astrFRAExerciseTenor[i]).addTenor (strForwardTenor)), 1, 4, 100.) +
				"%  ||"
			);

		System.out.println ("\t||--------------------------------------------------------------------------||");

		System.out.println ("\n\n\t||-------------------------------------------------------------------------||");

		for (int i = 0; i < adblFixFloatQuote.length; ++i)
			System.out.println (
				"\t||  " + strLatentStateLabel +
				" |  FIX FLOAT  | " + astrFixFloatMaturityTenor[i] + "  | " +
				FormatUtil.FormatDouble (adblFixFloatQuote[i], 1, 4, 100.) +
				"% | Swap Rate | " +
				FormatUtil.FormatDouble (fcReference.forward (astrFixFloatMaturityTenor[i]), 1, 4, 100.) +
				"%  ||"
			);

		System.out.println ("\t||-------------------------------------------------------------------------||");
	}
}