ProbabilityIntegralTransform.java

  1. package org.drip.validation.hypothesis;

  2. /*
  3.  * -*- mode: java; tab-width: 4; indent-tabs-mode: nil; c-basic-offset: 4 -*-
  4.  */

  5. /*!
  6.  * Copyright (C) 2020 Lakshmi Krishnamurthy
  7.  * Copyright (C) 2019 Lakshmi Krishnamurthy
  8.  *
  9.  *  This file is part of DROP, an open-source library targeting analytics/risk, transaction cost analytics,
  10.  *      asset liability management analytics, capital, exposure, and margin analytics, valuation adjustment
  11.  *      analytics, and portfolio construction analytics within and across fixed income, credit, commodity,
  12.  *      equity, FX, and structured products. It also includes auxiliary libraries for algorithm support,
  13.  *      numerical analysis, numerical optimization, spline builder, model validation, statistical learning,
  14.  *      and computational support.
  15.  *  
  16.  *      https://lakshmidrip.github.io/DROP/
  17.  *  
  18.  *  DROP is composed of three modules:
  19.  *  
  20.  *  - DROP Product Core - https://lakshmidrip.github.io/DROP-Product-Core/
  21.  *  - DROP Portfolio Core - https://lakshmidrip.github.io/DROP-Portfolio-Core/
  22.  *  - DROP Computational Core - https://lakshmidrip.github.io/DROP-Computational-Core/
  23.  *
  24.  *  DROP Product Core implements libraries for the following:
  25.  *  - Fixed Income Analytics
  26.  *  - Loan Analytics
  27.  *  - Transaction Cost Analytics
  28.  *
  29.  *  DROP Portfolio Core implements libraries for the following:
  30.  *  - Asset Allocation Analytics
  31.  *  - Asset Liability Management Analytics
  32.  *  - Capital Estimation Analytics
  33.  *  - Exposure Analytics
  34.  *  - Margin Analytics
  35.  *  - XVA Analytics
  36.  *
  37.  *  DROP Computational Core implements libraries for the following:
  38.  *  - Algorithm Support
  39.  *  - Computation Support
  40.  *  - Function Analysis
  41.  *  - Model Validation
  42.  *  - Numerical Analysis
  43.  *  - Numerical Optimizer
  44.  *  - Spline Builder
  45.  *  - Statistical Learning
  46.  *
  47.  *  Documentation for DROP is Spread Over:
  48.  *
  49.  *  - Main                     => https://lakshmidrip.github.io/DROP/
  50.  *  - Wiki                     => https://github.com/lakshmiDRIP/DROP/wiki
  51.  *  - GitHub                   => https://github.com/lakshmiDRIP/DROP
  52.  *  - Repo Layout Taxonomy     => https://github.com/lakshmiDRIP/DROP/blob/master/Taxonomy.md
  53.  *  - Javadoc                  => https://lakshmidrip.github.io/DROP/Javadoc/index.html
  54.  *  - Technical Specifications => https://github.com/lakshmiDRIP/DROP/tree/master/Docs/Internal
  55.  *  - Release Versions         => https://lakshmidrip.github.io/DROP/version.html
  56.  *  - Community Credits        => https://lakshmidrip.github.io/DROP/credits.html
  57.  *  - Issues Catalog           => https://github.com/lakshmiDRIP/DROP/issues
  58.  *  - JUnit                    => https://lakshmidrip.github.io/DROP/junit/index.html
  59.  *  - Jacoco                   => https://lakshmidrip.github.io/DROP/jacoco/index.html
  60.  *
  61.  *  Licensed under the Apache License, Version 2.0 (the "License");
  62.  *      you may not use this file except in compliance with the License.
  63.  *  
  64.  *  You may obtain a copy of the License at
  65.  *      http://www.apache.org/licenses/LICENSE-2.0
  66.  *  
  67.  *  Unless required by applicable law or agreed to in writing, software
  68.  *      distributed under the License is distributed on an "AS IS" BASIS,
  69.  *      WITHOUT WARRANTIES OR CONDITIONS OF ANY KIND, either express or implied.
  70.  *  
  71.  *  See the License for the specific language governing permissions and
  72.  *      limitations under the License.
  73.  */

  74. /**
  75.  * <i>ProbabilityIntegralTransform</i> holds the PIT Distribution CDF of the Test-Statistic Response over the
  76.  * Outcome Instances.
  77.  *
  78.  *  <br><br>
  79.  *  <ul>
  80.  *      <li>
  81.  *          Bhattacharya, B., and D. Habtzghi (2002): Median of the p-value under the Alternate Hypothesis
  82.  *              American Statistician 56 (3) 202-206
  83.  *      </li>
  84.  *      <li>
  85.  *          Head, M. L., L. Holman, R, Lanfear, A. T. Kahn, and M. D. Jennions (2015): The Extent and
  86.  *              Consequences of p-Hacking in Science PLoS Biology 13 (3) e1002106
  87.  *      </li>
  88.  *      <li>
  89.  *          Wasserstein, R. L., and N. A. Lazar (2016): The ASA’s Statement on p-values: Context, Process,
  90.  *              and Purpose American Statistician 70 (2) 129-133
  91.  *      </li>
  92.  *      <li>
  93.  *          Wikipedia (2018): Probability Integral Transform
  94.  *              https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability_integral_transform
  95.  *      </li>
  96.  *      <li>
  97.  *          Wikipedia (2019): p-value https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/P-value
  98.  *      </li>
  99.  *  </ul>
  100.  *
  101.  *  <br><br>
  102.  *  <ul>
  103.  *      <li><b>Module </b> = <a href = "https://github.com/lakshmiDRIP/DROP/tree/master/ComputationalCore.md">Computational Core Module</a></li>
  104.  *      <li><b>Library</b> = <a href = "https://github.com/lakshmiDRIP/DROP/tree/master/ModelValidationAnalyticsLibrary.md">Model Validation Analytics Library</a></li>
  105.  *      <li><b>Project</b> = <a href = "https://github.com/lakshmiDRIP/DROP/tree/master/src/main/java/org/drip/validation/README.md">Risk Factor and Hypothesis Validation, Evidence Processing, and Model Testing</a></li>
  106.  *      <li><b>Package</b> = <a href = "https://github.com/lakshmiDRIP/DROP/tree/master/src/main/java/org/drip/validation/hypothesis/README.md">Statistical Hypothesis Validation Test Suite</a></li>
  107.  *  </ul>
  108.  * <br><br>
  109.  *
  110.  * @author Lakshmi Krishnamurthy
  111.  */

  112. public class ProbabilityIntegralTransform
  113. {
  114.     private java.util.Map<java.lang.Double, java.lang.Double> _pValueTestStatisticMap = null;
  115.     private java.util.Map<java.lang.Double, java.lang.Double> _testStatisticPValueMap = null;

  116.     /**
  117.      * ProbabilityIntegralTransform Constructor
  118.      *
  119.      * @param testStatisticPValueMap Test Statistic - p Value Map
  120.      *
  121.      * @throws java.lang.Exception Thrown if the Inputs are Invalid
  122.      */

  123.     public ProbabilityIntegralTransform (
  124.         final java.util.Map<java.lang.Double, java.lang.Double> testStatisticPValueMap)
  125.         throws java.lang.Exception
  126.     {
  127.         if (null == (_testStatisticPValueMap = testStatisticPValueMap) ||
  128.             0 == _testStatisticPValueMap.size())
  129.         {
  130.             throw new java.lang.Exception ("ProbabilityIntegralTransform Constructor => Invalid Inputs");
  131.         }

  132.         _pValueTestStatisticMap = new java.util.TreeMap<java.lang.Double, java.lang.Double>();

  133.         for (java.util.Map.Entry<java.lang.Double, java.lang.Double> testStatisticPValueMapEntry :
  134.             _testStatisticPValueMap.entrySet())
  135.         {
  136.             _pValueTestStatisticMap.put (
  137.                 testStatisticPValueMapEntry.getValue(),
  138.                 testStatisticPValueMapEntry.getKey()
  139.             );
  140.         }
  141.     }

  142.     /**
  143.      * Retrieve the p Value - Test Statistic Map
  144.      *
  145.      * @return The p Value - Test Statistic Map
  146.      */

  147.     public java.util.Map<java.lang.Double, java.lang.Double> pValueTestStatisticMap()
  148.     {
  149.         return _pValueTestStatisticMap;
  150.     }

  151.     /**
  152.      * Retrieve the Test Statistic - p Value Map
  153.      *
  154.      * @return The Test Statistic - p Value Map
  155.      */

  156.     public java.util.Map<java.lang.Double, java.lang.Double> testStatisticPValueMap()
  157.     {
  158.         return _testStatisticPValueMap;
  159.     }

  160.     /**
  161.      * Compute the p-Value corresponding to the Test Statistic Instance
  162.      *
  163.      * @param testStatistic The Test Statistic Instance
  164.      *
  165.      * @return The p-Value
  166.      *
  167.      * @throws java.lang.Exception Thrown if the Inputs are Invalid
  168.      */

  169.     public double pValue (
  170.         final double testStatistic)
  171.         throws java.lang.Exception
  172.     {
  173.         if (!org.drip.numerical.common.NumberUtil.IsValid (testStatistic))
  174.         {
  175.             throw new java.lang.Exception ("ProbabilityIntegralTransform::pValue => Invalid Inputs");
  176.         }

  177.         java.util.Set<java.lang.Double> testStatisticKeySet = _testStatisticPValueMap.keySet();

  178.         double testStatisticKeyCurrent = java.lang.Double.NaN;
  179.         double testStatisticKeyPrevious = java.lang.Double.NaN;

  180.         for (double testStatisticKey : testStatisticKeySet)
  181.         {
  182.             if (testStatistic == testStatisticKey)
  183.             {
  184.                 return _testStatisticPValueMap.get (testStatistic);
  185.             }

  186.             if (testStatistic < testStatisticKey)
  187.             {
  188.                 if (!org.drip.numerical.common.NumberUtil.IsValid (testStatisticKeyPrevious))
  189.                 {
  190.                     return 0.;
  191.                 }

  192.                 testStatisticKeyCurrent = testStatisticKey;
  193.                 break;
  194.             }

  195.             testStatisticKeyPrevious = testStatisticKey;
  196.         }

  197.         return !org.drip.numerical.common.NumberUtil.IsValid (testStatisticKeyCurrent) ||
  198.             testStatistic >= testStatisticKeyCurrent ? 1. :
  199.             ((testStatistic - testStatisticKeyPrevious) * _testStatisticPValueMap.get
  200.                 (testStatisticKeyCurrent) +
  201.             (testStatisticKeyCurrent - testStatistic) * _testStatisticPValueMap.get
  202.                 (testStatisticKeyPrevious)) /
  203.             (testStatisticKeyCurrent - testStatisticKeyPrevious);
  204.     }

  205.     /**
  206.      * Compute the Test Statistic Instance corresponding to the p-Value
  207.      *
  208.      * @param pValue The p-Value
  209.      *
  210.      * @return The Response Instance
  211.      *
  212.      * @throws java.lang.Exception Thrown if the Inputs are Invalid
  213.      */

  214.     public double testStatistic (
  215.         final double pValue)
  216.         throws java.lang.Exception
  217.     {
  218.         if (!org.drip.numerical.common.NumberUtil.IsValid (pValue))
  219.         {
  220.             throw new java.lang.Exception ("ProbabilityIntegralTransform::testStatistic => Invalid Inputs");
  221.         }

  222.         java.util.Set<java.lang.Double> pValueKeySet = _pValueTestStatisticMap.keySet();

  223.         double pValueKeyCurrent = java.lang.Double.NaN;
  224.         double pValueKeyPrevious = java.lang.Double.NaN;

  225.         for (double pValueKey : pValueKeySet)
  226.         {
  227.             if (pValue == pValueKey)
  228.             {
  229.                 return _pValueTestStatisticMap.get (pValue);
  230.             }

  231.             if (pValue < pValueKey)
  232.             {
  233.                 if (!org.drip.numerical.common.NumberUtil.IsValid (pValueKeyPrevious))
  234.                 {
  235.                     return _pValueTestStatisticMap.get (pValueKey);
  236.                 }

  237.                 pValueKeyCurrent = pValueKey;
  238.                 break;
  239.             }

  240.             pValueKeyPrevious = pValueKey;
  241.         }

  242.         return pValue >= pValueKeyCurrent ? _pValueTestStatisticMap.get (pValueKeyCurrent) :
  243.             ((pValue - pValueKeyPrevious) * _pValueTestStatisticMap.get (pValueKeyCurrent) +
  244.             (pValueKeyCurrent - pValue) * _pValueTestStatisticMap.get (pValueKeyPrevious)) /
  245.             (pValueKeyCurrent - pValueKeyPrevious);
  246.     }
  247. }